[This a great quote that was shown at the Oscars, and it seems appropriate relative to The King's Speech as well]
I'm posting this early to get my predictions here online, and I'll come back later and post the winners.. winners are highlighted in gold, and with an [AA]
Best Motion Picture of the Year
127 Hours (2010): Christian Colson, Danny Boyle, John Smithson
Black Swan (2010): Mike Medavoy, Brian Oliver, Scott Franklin
The Fighter (2010): David Hoberman, Todd Lieberman, Mark Wahlberg
Inception (2010): Christopher Nolan, Emma Thomas
The Kids Are All Right (2010): Gary Gilbert, Jeffrey Levy-Hinte, Celine Rattray
The King's Speech (2010): Iain Canning, Emile Sherman, Gareth Unwin
The Social Network (2010): Scott Rudin, Dana Brunetti, Michael De Luca, Ceán Chaffin
Toy Story 3 (2010): Darla K. Anderson
True Grit (2010): Ethan Coen, Joel Coen, Scott Rudin
Winter's Bone (2010): Anne Rosellini, Alix Madigan
Prediction: THE KING’S SPEECH **
[due to the guilds voting for it; my favorite is Winter’s Bone]
Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role
Javier Bardem for Biutiful (2010)
Jeff Bridges for True Grit (2010)
Jesse Eisenberg for The Social Network (2010)
Colin Firth for The King's Speech (2010) [AA]
James Franco for 127 Hours (2010)
Prediction: COLIN FIRTH, King's Speech **
[no Robert Duvall for Get Low? Wow.. Bardem is now 3rd alltime for acting awards with 66, one behind Nicholson; Streep has 84 to lead all actors]
Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role
Annette Bening for The Kids Are All Right (2010)
Nicole Kidman for Rabbit Hole (2010)
Jennifer Lawrence for Winter's Bone (2010)
Natalie Portman for Black Swan (2010) [AA]
Michelle Williams for Blue Valentine (2010)
Prediction: NATALIE PORTMAN, Black Swan **
[she’s overdue since The Professional at age 12, but Annette Bening is way overdue and was great last year in Mother and Child as well.. could be the UPSET of the night!]
Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role
Christian Bale for The Fighter (2010) [AA]
John Hawkes for Winter's Bone (2010)
Jeremy Renner for The Town (2010)
Mark Ruffalo for The Kids Are All Right (2010)
Geoffrey Rush for The King's Speech (2010)
Prediction: CHRISTIAN BALE, Fighter **
[but I’m a huge John Hawkes fan.. Mark Ruffalo?? lol..]
Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role
Amy Adams for The Fighter (2010)
Helena Bonham Carter for The King's Speech (2010)
Melissa Leo for The Fighter (2010) [AA]
Hailee Steinfeld for True Grit (2010)
Jacki Weaver for Animal Kingdom (2010)
Prediction: MELISSA LEO, Fighter **
[but I wish Jacki Weaver would win]
Best Achievement in Directing
Darren Aronofsky for Black Swan (2010)
Ethan Coen, Joel Coen for True Grit (2010)
David Fincher for The Social Network (2010)
Tom Hooper for The King's Speech (2010) [AA]
David O. Russell for The Fighter (2010)
Prediction: DAVID FINCHER, Social Network -x
[Oscar may deviate from tradition, as Fincher is also overdue, as is Aronofsky - oh well, they just gave it to a first time nominee - argh!]
Best Writing, Screenplay Written Directly for the Screen
Another Year (2010): Mike Leigh
The Fighter (2010): Scott Silver, Paul Tamasy, Eric Johnson, Keith Dorrington
Inception (2010): Christopher Nolan
The Kids Are All Right (2010): Lisa Cholodenko, Stuart Blumberg
The King's Speech (2010): David Seidler [AA]
Prediction: INCEPTION -x
[b..b..but King's Speech sounds so b..b..boring.. zzzz]
Best Writing, Screenplay Based on Material Previously Produced or Published
127 Hours (2010): Danny Boyle, Simon Beaufoy
The Social Network (2010): Aaron Sorkin [AA]
Toy Story 3 (2010): Michael Arndt, John Lasseter, Andrew Stanton, Lee Unkrich
True Grit (2010): Joel Coen, Ethan Coen
Winter's Bone (2010): Debra Granik, Anne Rosellini
Prediction: The SOCIAL NETWORK (I'd pick Toy Story 3 here, it's terrific) **
[we're accidental billionaires after accidently stealing our original data and the idea.. too bad there's no accidental justice in the U.S. for the super-wealthy; once you get this rich, you can simply pay off all the right people and purchase the freedom they falsely promised all of us]
Best Animated Feature Film of the Year
How to Train Your Dragon (2010): Dean DeBlois, Chris Sanders
The Illusionist (2010): Sylvain Chomet
Toy Story 3 (2010): Lee Unkrich [AA]
Prediction: TOY STORY 3 **
[I think if this had lost I wouldn't died of shock.. great story too]
Best Foreign Language Film of the Year
Biutiful (2010): Alejandro González Iñárritu(Mexico)
Dogtooth (2009): Giorgos Lanthimos(Greece)
In a Better World (2010): Susanne Bier(Denmark) [AA]
Incendies (2010): Denis Villeneuve(Canada)
Outside the Law (2010): Rachid Bouchareb(Algeria)
Prediction: IN A BETTER WORLD **
[love Susanne Bier! she's way overdue, and she has a big heart - Yippee!]
Best Achievement in Cinematography
Black Swan (2010): Matthew Libatique
Inception (2010): Wally Pfister [AA]
The King's Speech (2010): Danny Cohen
The Social Network (2010): Jeff Cronenweth
True Grit (2010): Roger Deakins
Prediction: TRUE GRIT -x
Best Achievement in Editing
127 Hours (2010): Jon Harris
Black Swan (2010): Andrew Weisblum
The Fighter (2010): Pamela Martin
The King's Speech (2010): Tariq Anwar
The Social Network (2010): Kirk Baxter, Angus Wall [AA]
Prediction: THE FIGHTER (just a guess, haven't seen it) -x
Best Achievement in Art Direction
Alice in Wonderland (2010): Robert Stromberg, Karen O'Hara [AA]
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 1 (2010): Stuart Craig, Stephenie McMillan
Inception (2010): Guy Hendrix Dyas, Larry Dias, Douglas A. Mowat
The King's Speech (2010): Eve Stewart, Judy Farr
True Grit (2010): Jess Gonchor, Nancy Haigh
Prediction: ALICE IN WONDERLAND **
Best Achievement in Costume Design
Alice in Wonderland (2010): Colleen Atwood [AA]
I Am Love (2009): Antonella Cannarozzi
The King's Speech (2010): Jenny Beavan
The Tempest (2010/II): Sandy Powell
True Grit (2010): Mary Zophres
Prediction: ALICE IN WONDERLAND **
Best Achievement in Makeup
Barney's Version (2010): Adrien Morot
The Way Back (2010): Edouard F. Henriques, Greg Funk, Yolanda Toussieng
The Wolfman (2010): Rick Baker, Dave Elsey
Prediction: THE WOLFMAN **
[Rick Baker just won his 7th Oscar in 12 nominations]
Best Achievement in Music Written for Motion Pictures, Original Score
127 Hours (2010): A.R. Rahman
How to Train Your Dragon (2010): John Powell
Inception (2010): Hans Zimmer
The King's Speech (2010): Alexandre Desplat
The Social Network (2010): Trent Reznor, Atticus Ross [AA]
Prediction: SOCIAL NETWORK **
Best Achievement in Music Written for Motion Pictures, Original Song
127 Hours (2010): A.R. Rahman, Dido ("If I Rise")
Country Strong (2010): Tom Douglas, Hillary Lindsey, Troy Verges ("Coming Home")
Tangled (2010/I): Alan Menken, Glenn Slater ("I See the Light")
Toy Story 3 (2010): Randy Newman ("We Belong Together")
Prediction: TOY STORY 3 (We Belong Together) **
[This was Randy's 20th nomination, and I believe his 2nd win]
Best Achievement in Sound Mixing
Inception (2010): Lora Hirschberg, Gary Rizzo, Ed Novick [AA]
The King's Speech (2010): Paul Hamblin, Martin Jensen, John Midgley
Salt (2010): Jeffrey J. Haboush, William Sarokin, Scott Millan, Greg P. Russell
The Social Network (2010): Ren Klyce, David Parker, Michael Semanick, Mark Weingarten
True Grit (2010): Skip Lievsay, Craig Berkey, Greg Orloff, Peter F. Kurland
Prediction: INCEPTION **
Best Achievement in Sound Editing
Inception (2010): Richard King [AA]
Toy Story 3 (2010): Tom Myers, Michael Silvers
TRON: Legacy (2010): Gwendolyn Yates Whittle, Addison Teague
True Grit (2010): Skip Lievsay, Craig Berkey
Unstoppable (2010): Mark P. Stoeckinger
Prediction: INCEPTION **
Best Achievement in Visual Effects
Alice in Wonderland (2010): Ken Ralston, David Schaub, Carey Villegas, Sean Phillips
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 1 (2010): Tim Burke, John Richardson, Christian Manz, Nicolas Aithadi
Hereafter (2010): Michael Owens, Bryan Grill, Stephan Trojansky, Joe Farrell
Inception (2010): Chris Corbould, Andrew Lockley, Pete Bebb, Paul J. Franklin [AA]
[Iron Man 2 (2010): Janek Sirrs, Ben Snow, Ged Wright, Daniel Sudick
Prediction: INCEPTION (mind blowing!) **
Best Documentary, Features
Exit Through the Gift Shop (2010): Banksy, Jaimie D'Cruz
GasLand (2010): Josh Fox, Trish Adlesic
Inside Job (2010): Charles Ferguson, Audrey Marrs
Restrepo (2010): Tim Hetherington, Sebastian Junger
Waste Land (2010): Lucy Walker, Angus Aynsley
Prediction: INSIDE JOB ** [this is about the robbing of the world by corporate America]
(but Restrepo is awfully good and Gift Shop is getting late buzz)
Best Documentary, Short Subjects
Killing in the Name (2010): Jed Rothstein
Poster Girl (2010): Sara Nesson, Mitchell Block
Strangers No More (2010): Karen Goodman, Kirk Simon [AA]
Sun Come Up (2010): Jennifer Redfearn, Tim Metzger
The Warriors of Qiugang (2010): Ruby Yang, Thomas Lennon
[no prediction]
Best Short Film, Animated
Day & Night (2010): Teddy Newton
The Gruffalo (2009) (TV): Jakob Schuh, Max Lang
Let's Pollute (2011): Geefwee Boedoe
The Lost Thing (2010): Shaun Tan, Andrew Ruhemann [AA]
Madagascar, a Journey Diary (2010): Bastien Dubois
[no prediction]
Best Short Film, Live Action
The Confession (2010/IV): Tanel Toom
The Crush (2010): Michael Creagh
God of Love (2010): Luke Matheny
Na Wewe (2010): Ivan Goldschmidt
Wish 143 (2009): Ian Barnes, Samantha Waite
[no prediction]
[Winner Luke sported an Afro and his first comment was "I guess I should've gotten a haircut"]
Total Oscar count: King's Speech (4), Inception (4), Social Network (3), The Fighter (2), Toy Story 3 (2), Alice in Wonderland (2), Black Swan (1)
Predicted Total Count: Inception (4), The Fighter (3), King's Speech (2), Alice in Wonderland (2), Toy Story 3 (2), Black Swan (1) - if this happens, King's Speech would set a record for low total by a best picture post 1935 (in the early days, they really spread em around; sometimes a film would only win best picture)
The All Name Team: Geefwee Boedoe (animated short), Tanel Toom (live short), Banksy (documentary feature) - presenter Justin Timberlake came out and said, with a chagrin, "I am Banksy" - I would've said "I am Geefwee"
